Last year the predictions for the hurricane season were way overstated. For a number of reasons I thought the season would not be as severe as predicted and that proved correct. This year however, I believe the predictions for a severe season are likely more accurate. La Nina has developed which typically reduces wind shear compared to last year. Surface temperatures in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico are quite high, which will provide fuel for tropical storms.
Typically when a storm is named, we see a significant increase in our web site traffic (tarponcoastbuilders.com). It is fascinating that when a tropical storm is active, people start thinking about disaster resistant construction. This year I expect our web site to be quite busy in the August - November period. The Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University updated it's June forecast and it remained unchanged - 18 named storms and 10 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes. NOAA's forecast is comparable to the Colorado State prediction. The Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies at Florida State University has predicted 17 named storms.
By comparison, 2004 had 15 named storms. Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne all hit Florida, causing significant damage. If this year is anything like 2004, 2005 and 2008 we will see lots of tropical severe weather. The average year has 11 named storms, so if we reach the 18 predicted it will be a very active year. Alex was the second strongest June hurricane on record.
There are many ways to improve the protection of your home from natural disasters. I will begin covering some of them (both new construction and retrofit) in this blog. If you have questions don't hesitate to post them.
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